With encouraging signs that India’s Covid curve could turn a corner, the day by day number of recorded cases has gone below the 300,000 mark for the first time after almost a month (26 days), according to the health ministry data. While cases are still rising in many parts of the country and 244 districts are reporting more than 20 per cent positivity, some experts consider that the second one wave hit the peak around May 6 when the day by day cases crossed 414,000.
Over 75 per cent of the country’s complete Covid-19 cases come from ten states, with maximum in Karnataka, followed by Maharashtra, Kerala and Tamil Nadu.
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But, the data also showed that 24-hour recoveries have outnumbered the day by day new Covid cases for the sixth time in the final seven days and consistently in the final four days. “The cases have reduced naturally. It is of no credit to anyone. Cases have been often declining for the past week. They is also rising in rural parts and not getting measured,” said Jacob John, an eminent virologist.
The numbers released by the health ministry on Monday morning mirror the caseload of Sunday when the testing is most often low and subsequently the case count would also be lower, John said.
States with increased positivity rates, particularly Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, West Bengal and Odisha continue to be of concern.
These are one of the states with the largest number of districts showing a positivity rate of more than 20 per cent against the national average of around 18 per cent. The national positivity rate had reached nearly 23 per cent a week ago.
Madhya Pradesh has the highest number of districts—as many as 38–with more than 10 per cent positivity rate. “The virus has burned like a fire and now the fire is dying down. This is a natural phenomenon. Had we vaccinated enough in time, many lives could have been saved with just the two doses,’’ John added.
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